Author: Fabio Leidwein
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Premier League Home Advantage Is Decreasing
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For the longest time, football teams had a big advantage at home. Familiar scenery, no traveling and of course the big crowds in the back drastically favored the home teams. However, recently the Premier League sees more and more away wins and the home advantage is declining. In this article we will explore two compelling…
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Goal Difference vs Head-to-Head: Tiebreaker Rules by League
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Why Tiebreakers Matter More Than You Think When two clubs finish level on points the table needs an extra rule, which raises the debate of goal difference vs head to head tie breaker. The first tiebreaker, goal difference, is simple: subtract goals against from goals scored and the bigger number wins. For the exact wording,…
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Football Offside Rule Explained: History, Changes & SAOT
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The assistant’s flag pops up, a roar turns to a groan, and a coach is already rewriting his next training session. No rule in football shapes geometry and drama as the offside rule. Follow me through the history of the offside rule, how technology is tightening its grip, and why the next tweak might change…
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Do Relegated Premier League Teams Dominate the Championship?
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For the second year in a row, all three newly promoted teams are heading straight back down. The financial gap between the Premier League and the Championship is growing steadily, making it increasingly difficult for promoted teams to establish themselves in the world’s most competitive football league. After analyzing the performance of promoted Premier League…
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Premier League xG: Who Is Overperforming Their xG In 2024/25?
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Following last season’s deep dive, I’m excited to once again explore how Europe’s top teams measure up against their expected goals. In this post, I’m using a scatter plot divided into four quadrants to examine the performance across the Top 4 Leagues. This visualization not only highlights which teams have exceeded their expected metrics. It…
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xG Explained: What Are Expected Goals?
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In the football world, data and statistics are becoming increasingly important. Fans rarely focus solely on the score. Instead, they look into details like possession percentages, shots on goal, and more recently, advanced metrics such as xG. But how is this metric calculated, and how can it be used for further analysis? What are Expected…
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Is Football getting Boring? A Dribbling Analysis
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Is football getting boring? This is a question that’s increasingly sparking debate. With more games, player fatigue, and the rise of better defensive systems, many fans feel that the game has lost some of its old magic. Nowhere is this shift more evident than with wingers. The Changing Role of Wingers Gone are the days…
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Relegation Battles Everywhere: Ipswich – Southampton and more
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Welcome to another thrilling weekend of top-notch relegation football, what more can we wish for! This 5th calendar week features several nail-biting relegation battles across Europe’s Top 5 leagues. We’ll take a closer look at three crucial matchups – Ipswich vs. Southampton, St. Pauli vs. Augsburg, and Monza vs. Hellas Verona – and try to…
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Promoted Premier League Clubs Are Getting Worse
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This post takes a closer look at the real challenges facing newly promoted Premier League clubs. From financial constraints and tactical changes to steep historical trends, it highlights how the gap between the Championship and the top flight is widening—making survival an increasingly tough climb for these teams.
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Winter Break! The Winners and Losers of the Bundesliga 2024/25
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What a ride it has been so far! Bayern absolutely dominated with win after win, while Stuttgart and Heidenheim failed to replicate last year’s successes. Meanwhile, Mainz pleasantly surprised us all with one of the best defensive records in the league.However, if we take a closer look at the expected data, we’ll see that the…