Blogs
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Premier League Home Advantage Is Decreasing
For the longest time, football teams had a big advantage at home. Familiar scenery, no traveling and of course the big crowds in the back drastically favored the home teams.…
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Goal Difference vs Head-to-Head: Tiebreaker Rules by League
Why Tiebreakers Matter More Than You Think When two clubs finish level on points the table needs an extra rule, which raises the debate of goal difference vs head to…
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Football Offside Rule Explained: History, Changes & SAOT
The assistant’s flag pops up, a roar turns to a groan, and a coach is already rewriting his next training session. No rule in football shapes geometry and drama as…
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Do Relegated Premier League Teams Dominate the Championship?
For the second year in a row, all three newly promoted teams are heading straight back down. The financial gap between the Premier League and the Championship is growing steadily,…
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Premier League xG: Who Is Overperforming Their xG In 2024/25?
Following last season’s deep dive, I’m excited to once again explore how Europe’s top teams measure up against their expected goals. In this post, I’m using a scatter plot divided…
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xG Explained: What Are Expected Goals?
In the football world, data and statistics are becoming increasingly important. Fans rarely focus solely on the score. Instead, they look into details like possession percentages, shots on goal, and…
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Is Football getting Boring? A Dribbling Analysis
Is football getting boring? This is a question that’s increasingly sparking debate. With more games, player fatigue, and the rise of better defensive systems, many fans feel that the game…
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Relegation Battles Everywhere: Ipswich – Southampton and more
Welcome to another thrilling weekend of top-notch relegation football, what more can we wish for! This 5th calendar week features several nail-biting relegation battles across Europe’s Top 5 leagues. We’ll…
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Promoted Premier League Clubs Are Getting Worse
This post takes a closer look at the real challenges facing newly promoted Premier League clubs. From financial constraints and tactical changes to steep historical trends, it highlights how the…
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Winter Break! The Winners and Losers of the Bundesliga 2024/25
What a ride it has been so far! Bayern absolutely dominated with win after win, while Stuttgart and Heidenheim failed to replicate last year’s successes. Meanwhile, Mainz pleasantly surprised us…
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Using Strength Ratings to Compare Football Clubs
Ever wondered how to truly measure a football club’s strength? We start by looking at each team’s expected goals and how they stack up against the competition, factoring in whether…
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Football Forecast: How GxG and GAxGA Shape Match Analysis
Data and Core Metrics The Football Forecast relies on Opta data via fbref as its foundation, focusing on two core metrics: GxG and GAxGA . These figures blend actual performance…
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Relative Age Effect in Football: Does Your Birth Month Matter?
What Is the Relative Age Effect in Youth Football? Your football future could be decided before you ever kick a ball. The Relative Age Effect is a phenomenon where the…
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xG vs Reality: Analyzing Over/Underperformance in Europe’s Top Leagues (2023/24)
Did you know that Real Madrid outperformed their expected goals by nearly 20 goals in the 2023/24 season? In today’s football landscape, the game goes far beyond the final score.…
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