Category: Football Forecast
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Winter Break! The Winners and Losers of the Bundesliga 2024/25
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What a ride it has been so far! Bayern absolutely dominated with win after win, while Stuttgart and Heidenheim failed to replicate last year’s successes. Meanwhile, Mainz pleasantly surprised us all with one of the best defensive records in the league.However, if we take a closer look at the expected data, we’ll see that the…
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Football Forecast: How GxG and GAxGA Shape Match Analysis
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Data and Core Metrics The Football Forecast relies on Opta data via fbref as its foundation, focusing on two core metrics: GxG and GAxGA . These figures blend actual performance with underlying expected values, including xG and npxG (non-penalty expected goals). For more information regarding Expected Goals, check out my blog post: xG Explained: What…